Human Scientific Simulations and Estimations for Asgardia Space State for 2020-2050

Hardware structure is limited and certain at the beginning:

Modular structure with having 10-20 populated modules. There is no theoric limit for numbers of modules, but there is limit coming from money. My guess is about 100-150 people population at most for 2020-2050, may be till the end of 21st Century.

These modules’ people may be selected from different nations / languages or only from one. I offer to try all options to see and make social experiments / observations. There is a lot of data coming from other space stations’ history and also commune type groups on the Earth.

These communes-modules may select their governing system or accept one offered. They should be free. They will not be like astronauts, they will decide for theirselves, and they will pay it even sometimes with their lives because of problems cretaed by their decisions.

As seen on commune groups on the Earth social behaviors, it seems that they will behave something like Brownian motion to all directions. And the final panorama may be observed in limit conditions, but not in a shorter time than 30 years.

People will repeat the same human mistakes they have done on the Earth, and a few decades later they will be able to learn to create new systems and to behave newly.

A few diseasters are expected like ones in the space flight diseaster history. Also there will be at least 2 of 4 (water, food, energy, economic) macro global crisis on the Earth. There will be uncontinuities in modules’ supplying during these crises. So modules must be physically sufficient to theirselves at least for 9 months. It may be built an extra crisis module-unit.

This period is not state period, but it is proto-state period. Data coming from this period will say us whether we will succeed to stay in space or not.

I focuse on this period mostly. And then I guess the same possibilites and probabilites will be seen as in ‘5 millennia World System history’. Human species will may be to have learned to create different things from the Earth at least in many centuries in the space. It is a long futurology story, but not sciencefiction anymore.

Footnote: I am mostly interested in diseaster management in space as a serious game project, I will focus on it.

(October 21st, 2016)